Friday, March 21, 2008

IMF Approves Plan for Sovereign Wealth Fund Code - WSJ.com


WASHINGTON -- The International Monetary Fund's executive board gave the go-ahead Friday for the staff to develop a code of best practices for sovereign wealth funds by the IMF's autumn meeting in October.

[Read More:WSJ.com]



From the IMF web site and text of the background report discussed by the IMF Board

IMF Board Endorses Work Agenda on Sovereign Funds
By IMF Survey online



March 21, 2008

Board discusses IMF work on sovereign wealth funds
Work to be coordinated with SWFs and OECD
IMF staff to work with members and SWFs on development of voluntary best practices
The IMF's Executive Board gave the green light for further analysis on the role of sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) in the global economy and endorsed a proposal for the IMF to work with SWFs and other relevant parties to prepare a set of best practices for the state investment institutions.

At a meeting on March 21, the Board discussed a proposed work agenda relating to SWFs, which have gained in importance in the international monetary and financial system. The Board discussion provided an opportunity for Directors to discuss these funds, and ways to facilitate the development of a set of voluntary best practices by SWFs. This work would be coordinated with the work of the Organization for Cooperation and Development (OECD) on practices for recipient countries as appropriate.

SWFs have been around for a long time, at least since the 1950s. But their total size worldwide has grown dramatically over the past 10-15 years, with the IMF now estimating that they will rise from $2-3 trillion today to about $6-10 trillion within five years. At present, China, Kuwait, Norway, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, and the United Arab Emirates are among the countries that hold the world's largest SWFs. [see related story, "IMF Intensifies Work on Sovereign Wealth Funds."]

Impetus for growth

The main impetus for the growth of SWFs comes from high oil prices, financial globalization, and continued imbalances in the global financial system that have resulted in the rapid accumulation of foreign assets by some countries.

Many have welcomed the recent role of SWFs in providing capital to several large banks affected by the subprime mortgage crisis.

IMF staff will now start work with members and SWFs on the development of best practices, including the establishment of an international Working Group of SWFs to begin technical discussions and drafting work from April onwards.

The set of best practices would cover issues of public governance, transparency, and accountability principles—all of which should help enhance understanding of the operations of SWFs, the IMF says.

Evenhanded approach

"A better understanding of the role and practices of SWFs and the development of a set of best practices could help countries with SWFs benefit from the experience of other countries, strengthen their domestic policy frameworks and institutions, and further their macroeconomic and financial interests," said Jaime Caruana, Director of the IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department.

"Best practices and principles could also help ease concerns about SWFs in recipient countries and contribute to an open global monetary and financial system," he told a press briefing after the Board had concluded its session.

"In our view, the key to a successful result is one that is based on an inclusive, collaborative, and evenhanded effort," he added.


Thursday, March 20, 2008

Amazon.com: Mission Accomplished! Or How We Won the War in Iraq: The Experts Speak: Christopher Cerf,Victor S. Navasky,Robert Grossman: Books



HOW LONG WILL IT LAST?

"Now, it isn't gong to be over in 24 hours, but it isn't going to be months either."
- Richard Perle, Chairman of the Pentagon's Defense Policy Board, 7/11/02

"The idea that it's going to be a long, long, long battle of some kind I think is belied by the fact of what happened in 1990. Five days or five weeks or five months, but it certainly isn't going to last any longer than that."
- Donald H. Rumsfeld, U.S. Secretary of Defense, 11/15/02

"I will bet you the best dinner in the gaslight district of San Diego that military action will not last more than a week. Are you willing to take that wager?"
- Bill O'Reilly, 1/29/03

"It is unknowable how long that conflict will last. It could be six days, six weeks. I doubt six months."
- Donald H. Rumsfeld, U.S. Secretary of Defense, 2/7/03

"It won't take weeks... Our military machine will crush Iraq in a matter of days and there's no question that it will."
- Bill O'Reilly, 2/10/03

"There is zero question that this military campaign...will be reasonably short. ... Like World War II for about five days."
- General Barry R. McCaffrey, national security and terrorism analyst for NBC News, 2/18/03

"The Iraq fight itself is probably going to go very, very fast. The shooting should be over within just a very few days from when it starts."
- David Frum, former Bush White House speechwriter, 2/24/03

"Our military superiority is so great -- it's far greater than it was in the Gulf War, and the Gulf War was over in 100 hours after we bombed for 43 days... Now they can bomb for a couple of days and then just roll into Baghdad... The odds are there's going to be a war and it's going to be not for very long."
- Former President Bill Clinton, 3/6/03

"I think it will go relatively quickly...weeks rather than months."
- Vice President Dick Cheney, 3/16/

[Read More:Amazon.com: Mission Accomplished! Or How We Won the War in Iraq: The Experts Speak: Christopher Cerf,Victor S. Navasky,Robert Grossman: Books]

R we in a Recession?

Treasury Reaches Agreement on Principles for Sovereign Wealth Fund Investment with Singapore and Abu Dhabi


WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Bush administration said Thursday it had reached agreement Abu Dhabi and Singapore that they will not use their huge government investment funds to further their political goals.

[Read More:Yahoo! Finance]



See US Treasury's Press Release:







March 20, 2008
hp-881

Treasury Reaches Agreement on Principles for Sovereign Wealth Fund Investment with Singapore and Abu Dhabi

Washington, DC--Officials from the U.S. Treasury, the governments of Singapore and Abu Dhabi, and sovereign wealth funds ADIA and GIC met today in Washington, DC to discuss issues surrounding sovereign wealth funds, recipient country inward investment regimes, and efforts to develop best practices. Joining Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson, Jr. and Deputy Secretary Robert M. Kimmitt were Government of Abu Dhabi Executive Council Member Hamad Al Hurr Al Suwaidi, ADIA Executive Director Hareb Masood Al-Darmaki, Singapore Finance Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam and GIC Deputy Chairman Tony Tan.

"We had a good discussion today on the issues surrounding sovereign wealth funds. Singapore and UAE have long-established, well-respected funds and are showing real leadership by joining with us today. The U.S. welcomes sovereign wealth fund investment and looks forward to continuing to work with these two countries and others to support the initiatives underway at the IMF and OECD to develop best practices for sovereign wealth funds and recipient countries," said Paulson. "The principles we agreed to here today will further those efforts."

Following today's meeting the three nations released the following joint statement and accompanying policy principles:

Sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) represent government-owned investment vehicles, funded by foreign exchange assets and commodity export receipts, etc., which invest internationally for financial objectives such as stabilization and intergenerational savings.

The United States, Abu Dhabi, and Singapore, being a group of nations with SWFs and a country receiving investments from SWFs, have a common interest in an open and stable international financial system. We support the processes underway in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) to develop voluntary best practices for SWFs and inward investment regimes for government-controlled investment in recipient countries, respectively. International agreement on a set of voluntary best practices will create a strong incentive among SWFs and investment-recipient countries to hold themselves to high standards. We hope that the IMF and OECD's work can build upon these basic principles:

Policy Principles for Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs)

SWF investment decisions should be based solely on commercial grounds, rather than to advance, directly or indirectly, the geopolitical goals of the controlling government. SWFs should make this statement formally as part of their basic investment management policies.

2. Greater information disclosure by SWFs, in areas such as purpose, investment objectives, institutional arrangements, and financial information – particularly asset allocation, benchmarks, and rates of return over appropriate historical periods – can help reduce uncertainty in financial markets and build trust in recipient countries.

3. SWFs should have in place strong governance structures, internal controls, and operational and risk management systems.

4. SWFs and the private sector should compete fairly.

5. SWFs should respect host-country rules by complying with all applicable regulatory and disclosure requirements of the countries in which they invest.

Policy Principles for Countries Receiving SWF Investment

1. Countries receiving SWF investment should not erect protectionist barriers to portfolio or foreign direct investment.

2. Recipient countries should ensure predictable investment frameworks. Inward investment rules should be publicly available, clearly articulated, predictable, and supported by strong and consistent rule of law.

3. Recipient countries should not discriminate among investors. Inward investment policies should treat like-situated investors equally.

4. Recipient countries should respect investor decisions by being as unintrusive as possible, rather than seeking to direct SWF investment. Any restrictions imposed on investments for national security reasons should be proportional to genuine national security risks raised by the transaction.




Wednesday, March 19, 2008

British authorities try to quell damaging financial rumors - International Herald Tribune


LONDON: In a rare move to calm investors' nerves, British financial authorities stepped forward on Wednesday to quench a string of "unfounded rumors" that had sent some financial stocks in London into a tailspin.

The Financial Services Authority said it had started an investigation into whether some traders spread rumors about British financial institutions over the last few days and might have profited from the decline in the stocks' share prices. Separately, the Bank of England, which almost never makes public statements about specific lenders, denied rumors that it met or scheduled to meet with executives at a British bank to discuss potential liquidity problems.


[Read More:International Herald Tribune]

The FED's recent action on Bear Sterns

Paul Volcker's view:



Larry Summers's take:

The Inevitable Collapse of the $, a Documentary

Economics Blog : IMF: Moving Ahead on Sovereign Wealth Funds


The International Monetary Fund’s executive board is expected on Friday to bless the staff’s effort to create a voluntary code of “best practices” to guide sovereign wealth funds, giving a political boost to the efforts.

On a request from the Group of seven nations – U.S., Germany, Italy, Japan, Britain, France and Canada — the IMF has been trying to put together a kind of voluntary code of conduct that would help sovereign wealth funds convince skeptical politicians in Europe and the U.S. that the funds are investing for commercial rather than political reasons

[Read More:WSJ Blogs]

Science fiction author Arthur C. Clarke dies aged 90 - Times Online



He was the best science fiction writer. "2001: A Space Odyssey" is, in my view one the best movie ever, if not the best.


Sir Arthur C. Clarke, the science fiction writer, has died aged 90 in his adopted home of Sri Lanka, it was confirmed tonight.

[Read More:Times Online]



Tuesday, March 18, 2008

The Week That Shook Wall Street: Inside the Demise of Bear Stearns - WSJ.com

From : WSJ.com


The past six days have shaken American capitalism.

Between Tuesday, when financial markets began turning against Bear Stearns Cos., and Sunday night, when the bank disappeared into the arms of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., Washington policy makers, federal regulators and Wall Street bankers struggled to keep the trouble from tanking financial markets and exacerbating the country's deep economic uncertainty.


The mood changed daily, as did the apparent scope of the problem. On Friday, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson thought markets would be calmed by the announcement that the Federal Reserve had agreed to help bail out Bear Stearns. President Bush gave a reassuring speech that day about the fundamental soundness of the U.S. economy. By Saturday, however, Mr. Paulson had become convinced that a definitive agreement to sell Bear Stearns had to be inked before markets opened yesterday.

....

One theory began developing internally: Hedge funds with short positions on Bear -- bets that the company's stock would fall -- were trying to speed the decline by spreading negative rumors.



Comedy Central Economics

The Daily Show with Jon Steward : Broken Arrow



The Colbert Report : Cash Cowed

Sunday, March 16, 2008

How Debt Bites Back - washingtonpost.com

Click on the picture for a large view

We will never have a perfect model of risk

By Alan Greenspan


The most credible explanation of why risk management based on state-of-the-art statistical models can perform so poorly is that the underlying data used to estimate a model’s structure are drawn generally from both periods of euphoria and periods of fear, that is, from regimes with importantly different dynamics.

[Read More:FT.com]



Paul Krugman: Greenspan lectures us again



I once said of Alan Greenspan: He’s like a man who suggests leaving the barn door ajar, and then - after the horse is gone - delivers a lecture on the importance of keeping your animals properly locked up. He’s still doing it. He begins: The current financial crisis in the US is likely to be judged in [...]

[Read More:Paul Krugman Blog]

Hideaway, Eric Clapton, Bluesbreakers, John Mayall

Infrastructure



Les planificateurs, les économistes, les financiers font valser les chiffres.
La Tunisie semble, aujourd’hui, désormais le pôle de tous les désirs. Et les investisseurs, qu’ils soient du Golfe, d’Asie ou d’Europe, succomberaient tous à nos charmes.

Il faut reconnaître, bien sûr, que nous avons les moyens de notre politique : situation géographique privilégiée, stabilité politique et sociale, dévoloppement économique fiable, sécurité étant les maîtres mots. Il faut leur ajouter une tradition d’accueil et d’ouverture, une qualité reconnue du potentiel humain et un sens atavique de l’entreprenariat.

Mais avons-nous la politique de nos moyens ?

Et tous ces projets, qui concernent la Tunisie du Nord au Sud, qui sont tout à la fois touristiques, industriels, écologiques, immobiliers et financiers, ne risquent-ils pas de dépasser et d’outrepasser nos capacités humaines et matérielles ?N’est-ce pas «trop» pour notre capacité d’absorption? En un mot, ne sommes-nous pas en train de faire… du surbooking? Une fois de plus, après nous être posé la question, nous avons été la poser à M. Slim Tlatli, président de la Commission Supérieure des Grands Projets.

La réponse, cette fois-ci, a été des plus claires.

[Read More:LaPresse]

Friday, March 14, 2008

EU welcomes sovereign wealth funds


European Union leaders on Friday laid out the welcome mat to sovereign wealth funds to invest in the bloc, as they met in Brussels with dark economic clouds gathering on the other side of the Atlantic.

With news of the collapse in confidence in Bear Stearns filtering into the Brussels’ summit room, EU leaders waved through a communiqué stressing that Europe would remain open to investment from state-owned investment funds.


[Read More:FT.com]

IMF vote deal likely but not without opposition


By Lesley Wroughton

WASHINGTON, March 14 (Reuters) - Developing countries have opposed a new voting formula meant to increase their sway in the International Monetary Fund, but acknowledge it will likely end up being endorsed by a majority of the IMF's 185 member nations.

The group of around 50 countries represented by Egypt, Iran, Indonesia, Russia and Kenya, which speaks for 19 African nations, said the proposal did not sufficiently shift voting power from dominant industrial countries toward developing nations, which it was meant to do.

"The whole idea of the quota review was that the share of emerging and low-income countries would increase at the expense of industrial nations," one board official said.

"That clearly hadn't happened because the direct shift of quotas from industrial nations is nothing more than 2.7 percent, most of that coming from the tripling of basic votes," the official added.

[Read More:Reuters]

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Zone de libre échange entre la Tunisie et les Etats-Unis


La libéralisation du commerce offre des avantages essentiels pour le développement économique. L'abolition des barrières tarifaires est motivée par l'accroissement et l'exploitation des richesses nationales au profit des différents secteurs

[Read More:Le temps]



Comparés à l’Europe, les flux commerciaux entre la Tunisie et les Etats-Unis d’Amériques sont encore timides mais présentent des potentialités de développement.

[Read More:LaPresse]

Sunday, March 9, 2008

Do Sovereign Wealth Funds Pose a Risk to the United States?

by Edwin M. Truman, Peterson Institute


The challenge facing the United States and the international financial community is how to make the world safer for sovereign wealth funds and maintain our own, open market-based regime in which private-sector actors are the major players. My answer is agree upon a set of best practices, or a standard, for sovereign wealth funds to make them more accountable to their own citizens and governments, to the citizens and governments of host countries, and to participants in financial markets. Transparency has a large part to play in establishing such accountability, but it is only part of the game.

Based upon the "scoreboard" [pdf] for 33 sovereign wealth funds that I have developed, I am confident that the union of the actual practices of those funds provides an appropriate framework for a set of best practices. The reason is that at least one sovereign wealth fund currently, voluntarily complies with each of the 25 elements in the scoreboard.2


[Read More:Peterson Institute for International Economics]

IMF Intensifies Work on Sovereign Wealth Funds


With sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) rapidly gaining importance in the international monetary and financial system, the IMF has stepped up its work across a broad range of issues related to these state-owned funds, including their impact on global financial stability and capital flows.

[Read More:IMF Survey]